Friday, March 27, 2015

Keycrime, software that predicts robberies: “Results are unique in the world” – GQ.com

Two robbers come into a supermarket in Milan, take by the manager and told him to hand over their collection. The holder and obeys the robbery is successful in a few minutes: a crime as it happens to hundreds across Italy. Too bad the police had predicted everything and was stationed outside the door waiting for them . A scene from Minority Report that is actually in Milan since 2007, when it began operation Keycrime . A program predictive crime created by ‘ assistant team leader of the Mobile Police Headquarters in Milan, Mario Venturi, that can “read” criminal behavior: inserting all the data of a crime, the software is able to indicate the place and the time slot of the next crime, allowing police to intervene and take the robbers. Over the past seven years data collection are unique in the world . In 2013 Keycrime helped solve 80% of robberies of pharmacies in Milan, 74% of those banking institutions.

In general for more than a robbery on two manager has been identified . A deterrent element that led to a 25% reduction in robberies against pharmacies in the past year . A virtuous cycle that could bring savings to the state and citizens if applied at the national level. Venturi tells us, however, as economic uncertainties and the lack of funding are slowing the development of Keycrime.

How does Keycrime?

“The operation is simple: after recovering all the data of a criminal event we insert them in the application indicating the place, time and particular behaviors required by criminals. The software processes them and gives an indication of the facts potentially connected to the one entered by highlighting the serial criminal and giving us the ability to connect to a single hand events that occurred in different times and places. If you happen percent robberies there are 100 different robbers but a number of criminal gangs that repeatedly occur. This study allows us to have predictive capabilities of a future event, by virtue of the fact that we understand what they do and we can get to understand where hit with exact date and place. “

How is applied by the Police Milan?

“There are two types of intervention according to the forecast. If it is not refined strengthen controls in the affected area most at risk during the time indicated by the software. If we get a clear indication not only know the date and time, but we will restrict obietivi possible even at two stores only. At that point we just have to wait to put that arrive, are now numerous cases in which the police were waiting for the robbers. “

Of all the crimes, Keycrime works for robberies against retail outlets. Is there a particular reason?

“The robbery against property and against the person, as there is the need to use violence or threats. This dual aspect arouses a high level of social alarm so we decided to start testing the software to combat this crime, which is also one of the most numerous in the area. “

How long will it wanted to develop it?

“It took twelve years. I started working when I was assigned to work on a robbery alarm at some pharmacies in the city of Milan and I realized what was necessary support in data collection and analysis. So before I created a database of support, then by the time I came to the realization of a search engine criminal comparing the data with those of criminal events in the archive (about 10 thousand) and helps in the analysis of the subject. In fact we have eliminated the human part of the analysis support of a software. “

What differentiates Keycrime from similar software?

“If the other programs of work on the historical and predictive crime incidence of robberies in a certain area, Keycrime focuses on who generates the danger, on the actions of the criminal. It is more behavioral than statistical. “

What are the future developments?

” We just close a deal with a technology partner like Microsoft who has quiet attentiveness to enter into an incubator of ideas to develop Keycrime Cube. A more evolved we will make a leap forward huge compared to now. In six months we will have a software on a large scale at the national level with the coordination of the Ministry of Interior of the various police stations and applicable to any type of crime. The only limit that stops is funding. I have granted free use of the application to the police headquarters in Milan but to go forward in the project we will need more resources. “

Someone has ever made me feel the ministry?

“I have the unconditional support and almost paternal by the superintendent of Milan Luigi Savina. Central bodies are aware of the project and expressed their interest to extend it nationally, however, is still to be decided. Can I add one thing? “

Please.

“At a time of economic hardship such as this there is the opportunity to make a monstrous savings by virtue of the results obtained. Decreasing the chance to get away with creating a strong element of deterrence to repeat robberies. With less crime there would be a saving for the judiciary, police and the state in general. And that’s just for the crime of robbery, try to imagine if it could be extended to many more crimes. I’m not saying that would be out of a financial but would still be a lot of money. “

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